Outnumbered 11/05/18 12PM | November 05, 2018 Breaking News

IS >> Sandra: SHAPING UP TO BE A BUSY COUPLE DAYS FIX FOR JOINING US TODAY, WE WILL SEE YOU BACK TOMORROW MORNING

"OUTNUMBERED" STARTS NOW >> Melissa: FOX NEWS ALERT, RIGHT NOW LESS THAN 24 HOURS UNTIL THE POLLS OPEN IN THE HIGH-STAKES MIDTERM ELECTION PRESIDENT TRUMP, FORMER PRESIDENT OBAMA OFFERING COMPETING VISIONS IN THEIR CLOSING ARGUMENTS TO VOTERS AS THEY CRISSCROSS THE COUNTRY IN THE FINAL STRETCH THIS IS "OUTNUMBERED" HARRIS IS VERY EXCITED

I'M MELISSA FRANCIS HERE TODAY IS HARRIS FAULKNER SHE'S VERY EXCITED FOX NEWS ANGLES AND COHOST OF "BENSON AND HARV," MARIE HARF HERE IS KENNEDY, CAN BE YOURSELF

JOINING US TODAY, THE ANCHOR OF FOX NEWS SUNDAY, CHRIS WALLACE YOU'RE NOT GETTING ENOUGH TV TIME HERE >> Chris: LET ME JUST SAY, I'M ALWAYS THE PERSON THE POSITION THE #OneLuckyGuy I FEEL LIKE YOU'RE REALLY LUCKY GUY BECAUSE IT'S AN UGLY DAY IN NEW YORK

IT'S COLD, IT'S RAINING WE WERE SUPPOSED TO DO THE SHOW OUTSIDE AND WE AREN'T >> Melissa: WE SNUCK INSIDE >> Harris: WEREN'T YOU WITH US FOR WIND GATE AT THE CONVENTION? OUR HARRIS FLIPPING UP AND YOU COULD SEE WHO HAD A WEAVE

NOT THAT IT WAS YOU >> Chris: IN CLEVELAND? AND WE WENT OFF THE AIR? YEAH >> Melissa: I WAS HERE, I WAS THE ONE WHO STAYED ON CAMERA WHERE YOU WENT FOR SHELTER ANYWAY, GOOD TIMES MOVING ON, PRESIDENT TRUMP HITTING THREE BATTLEGROUND STATES TODAY

OHIO, INDIANA, AND MISSOURI, AFTER CAMPAIGNING IN TENNESSEE AND GEORGIA YESTERDAY HERE IS THE PRESIDENT >> THIS ELECTION WILL DECIDE WHETHER WE BUILD ON THIS EXTRAORDINARY PROSPERITY THAT WE HAVE CREATED DID YOU SEE THE NUMBERS ON FRIDAY? DID YOU SEE THAT? [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WAS A RELET THE RADICAL DEMOCRATS TAKE A GIANT WRECKING BALL TO OUR ECONOMY AND TO OUR FUTURE >> Melissa: IN THE MEANTIME, FORMER PRESIDENT OBAMA SLAMMING PRESIDENT TRUMP'S POLICIES WHILE CAMPAIGNING FOR DEMOCRATS AT THE RALLIES IN CHICAGO AND GARY, INDIANA YESTERDAY

>> AMERICA IS AT A CROSSROADS THE HEALTH CARE OF MILLIONS IS ON THE BALLOT A FAIR SHAKE FOR WORKING FAMILIES IS ON THE BALLOT PERHAPS MOST IMPORTANTLY, THE CHARACTER OF OUR COUNTRY [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] IS ON THE BALLOT

>> Melissa: THERE YOU GO CHRIS WALLACE, I WILL START REVIEW HOW DOES THIS COMPARE WITH OTHER MIDTERMS YOU HAVE BEEN A PART OF? >> Chris: LIKE NOTHING IN THE TE TRUMP AREA COMPARES ANYTHING ELSE, I'VE NEVER SEEN THIS KIND OF INTENSITY IN THE VOTING THE LATEST PSYCH SAW WAS 30 MILLION PEOPLE HAVE ALREADY VOTED

SOME OF THEM, AS THEY SAY, ARE BEING CANNIBALIZED THEY WOULD HAVE VOTED ON ELECTION DAY, AND OTHER VOTING SAID HERE I BET — BACK IN 2014 WE HAD 36% OF THE COUNTRY VOTING IN THE MIDTERM IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, WE HAD 60% MY GUESS IS THAT IT WILL BE CLOSER TO A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION THEN THE MIDTERM

WITH DONALD TRUMP, IT'S ALL ABOUT HIM >> Melissa: HE ADDRESSED THAT VERY QUESTION WE HAVE THE SOUND BITE, AS IF THE REFERENDUM IS ON HIM LISTEN >> IT'S VERY IMPORTANT, EVEN THOUGH I'M NOT ON THE BALLOT — IN A CERTAIN WAY, I AM ON THE BALLOT

IT SUPPORT TO GO OUT AND VOTE, GET YOUR FRIENDS, GET EVERYBODY GO OUT AND VOTE TOMORROW, WHETHER WE CONSIDER IT OR NOT, THE PRESS IS VERY MUCH CONSIDERING A REFERENDUM ON ME AND US AS A MOVEMENT >> Melissa: MARIE, I HEARD AN EVENT OF CAN'T REFER TO IT AS PRESIDENT TRUMP IS THE MOOD MUSIC BEHIND THE ELECTION BUT IT'S NOT ABOUT HIM

DO YOU AGREE WITH THAT, OR DISAGREE? >> Marie: I THINK IS TRYING TO MAKE IT ABOUT HIM, PARTICULARLY IN SOME OF THE SENATE RACES YOU HEAR THE REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS SAYING PUBLICLY — AND SOME OF THEM, PRIVATELY, SOME PUBLICLY THEY WISH THE PRESIDENT WAS FOCUSING ON THE ECONOMY THEY WAY SHE WAS FOCUSING ON TAX CUTS THEY IT'S INTERESTING — THET THAT FOUR OF THE TEN SENATE SEATS IN THE STATES THAT DONALD TRUMP ONE AREN'T EVEN REALLY IN A CONTEST — THEY ARE GOING TO BE CLOSE, BUT THEY AREN'T A TOSS UP

THAT'S AMAZING THE FACT THAT THIS MORNING WE HAVE POLLING SHOWING TENNESSEE IS NOW TIED, ACCORDING TO A TENNESSEE POLL, FLORIDA LOOKING BETTER — I THINK TOMORROW IS GOING TO BE VERY INTERESTING DONALD TRUMP IS GOING ALL IN ON A CLOSING MESSAGE OF IMMIGRATION IT SORT OF A RECAP OF HIS 2016 CLOSING ARGUMENT I DON'T KNOW, QUITE PRICKLY, IF THAT WILL HELP REBEL AGAINST THE HOUSE

I DON'T THINK IT WILL ALL OF THESE GOVERNORS LEASES RACES WE DON'T TALK ENOUGH ABOUT THEM DEMOCRATS CAN TAKE AS MANY AS EIGHT OR TEN, AND THESE ARE CRUCIAL

THESE WILL DETERMINE, IN MANY STATES, THE NEXT CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS AFTER THE 2020 REDISTRICTING THE DONALD TRUMP EFFECT ON GOVERNANCE RACES, I THINK, IS VERY MUCH AN OPEN QUESTION WE AREN'T PAYING ENOUGH ATTENTION ON THEM WHEN PEOPLE GO TO THE POLLS TOMORROW

>> Harris: I WANT TO PIGGYBACK OFF OF THAT I THINK THE GOVERNOR'S RACES, AT LEAST A COUPLE, MAY BE FOR NEGATIVE REASONS THE LAST 36 HOURS, HAVE GONE A LOT OF ATTENTION SPECIFICALLY GEORGIA YOU HAVE ACCUSATIONS OF BALLOT HACKING LAST NIGHT I DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH FACT GATHERING WE'VE BEEN ABLE TO GET OUR HANDS ON EARLY TODAY, BUT WE SHOULD TRACK THAT DOWN AND SEE IF THAT'S THE CASE

YOU'VE GOT A REALLY NASTY ROBO CALL THAT'S GOING OUT AGAINST THE DEMOCRAT IN THAT STATE WHO IS AFRICAN-AMERICAN THE GOVERNOR RACES HAVE BEEN GETTING A LOT OF ATTENTION THEN YOU KIND OF FLIPPED THE SWITCH TO THE HOUSE, WHICH IS ALSO NOT REALLY BEING TALKED ABOUT THERE ARE SOME PLACES, CHRIS, WHERE REPUBLICANS ACTUALLY COULD DO BETTER THAN WHAT PEOPLE THINK >> Chris: HERE'S THE PROBLEM WITH THE HOUSE — THE PEOPLE TALK ABOUT THE HOUSE GENERICALLY

"IS THE HOUSE QUIT A FLIP OR NOT?" BUT WHEN YOU'VE GOT 435 PEOPLE UP, IT'S HARD TO FOCUS ON INDIVIDUAL RACES AND INDIVIDUAL PERSONALITIES THIS IS A BIG DEAL MURRAY IS EXACTLY RIGHT THE GOVERNOR'S RACES ARE VERY IMPORTANT FOR TWO REASONS FIRST OF ALL, BECAUSE REDISTRICTING

ALSO, WHEN THEY RUN A 2020, IF THE GOVERNMENT IN ONE OF THOSE SWING STATES AS A REPUBLICAN OR A DEMOCRAT, THAT MEANS THE HOME MECHANISM OF THAT STATE'S POLITICAL EFFORT IS GOING TO FAVOR EITHER THE REPUBLICAN ON THE DEMOCRAT THE PERSON INSANE PARTY SAME WITH THE HOUSE IF REPUBLICANS ARE ABLE TO HOLD ONTO THE HOUSE, WHERE THE PRESIDENT PARTY LOSES — >> Harris: WOULDN'T IT BE HUGE? >> Chris: THAT WOULD BE HUGE THE AVERAGE, SINCE WORLD WAR II, IN THE FIRST MIDTERM, THE PRESIDENT'S PARTY LOSES AN AVERAGE OF 28 SEATS

IF THAT HAPPENS, THE HOUSE WILL FLIP AND GO TO THE DEMOCRATS IF REPUBLICANS ARE GOING TO HOLD ON, THAT WOULD BE A HUGE VICTORY FOR DONALD TRUMP >> Harris: KENNEDY, I SPECIFICALLY WANTED TO ASK ABOUT FLORIDA PEERED SO MUCH AS HAPPENED DOWN THERE, YOU GOT RICK SCOTT GOING AGAINST BILL NELSON YOU GOT PARKLAND, TRAGIC EVENT GOING ON >> Kennedy: NOT TO MENTION THE HURRICANES

FANS OF RICK SCOTT HAVE POINTED TO HIS EXECUTIVE ABILITY TO DEAL WITH SOME OF THE STORMS ALSO, OFFERING OUTRAGE FLORIDA IS ALSO CRITICAL FOR THE REASONS CHRIS IS SUGGESTING FOR THE PRESIDENT THAT GOVERNOR'S RACE SO INCREDIBLY CLOSE >> Harris: WITH ANDREW GILLUM

>> Kennedy: IT SHOWS THAT IT'S NOT JUST ABOUT THIS MIDTERM, IT'S ABOUT 2020 AND LAYING THE FOUNDATION WHEN PEOPLE LIKE PRESIDENT OBAMA TALK ABOUT THIS BEING THE MOST IMPORTANT ELECTION EVER BECOME A PART OF THAT IS VERY EMPTY BECAUSE THEY SEE IT EVERY TIME WHEN MEATHEAD ROB REINER IS SAYING THE SAME THING ON SOCIAL MEDIA, "YOU HAVE TO GET OUT AND VOTE, IT'S NEVER BEEN THIS IMPORTANT AS NOT" THAT NEGATES ANY FUTURE ELECTION WHEN PEOPLE TURNED OUT IT SHOWS THAT YOU HAVE ABSOLUTELY NO CLOUT WHEN YOU'RE TALKING >> Harris: DON'T ASK ME TO DO YOU THINK THE TURNOUT WILL BE BETTER THAN EVER BEFORE? DO THINK MORE PEOPLE WILL VOTE? >> Chris: I DON'T KNOW WHAT IS BIGGER

I KNOW IT'LL BE DECISIVELY MORE THAN 2014, AND THE BIGGEST IN A LONG TIME I THINK IT WAS MORE OF A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION TURNOUT THAN A MIDTERM ELECTION TURNOUT A LOT OF THAT I ATTRIBUTE TO DONALD TRUMP BOTH POSITIVELY AND NEGATIVELY PEOPLE THAT LIKE DONALD TRUMP ARE GOING TO GO OUT AND SUPPORT — IT'S NOT HIM PERSONALLY, WHEN WE SEE A REFERENDUM ON HIM

IT'S ALSO A REFERENDUM ON HIS POLICIES IMMIGRATION, ECONOMY, KAVANAUGH, THE CARAVAN — A NUMBER OF THESE ISSUES PREEXISTING CONDITIONS, HEALTH CARE ALL OF THESE ARE ON THE BALLOT >> Kennedy: WHEN MARIE WAS TALKING ABOUT THE SENATE RACES, THEY AREN'T NECESSARILY RUNNING ON THE PRESIDENT'S PERSONALITY COATTAILS

THEY ARE RUNNING ON THESE CRITICAL RED MEAT ISSUES, ARE VERY HELPFUL IN SOME OF THOSE STATES THAT THE PRESIDENT ONE BACK IN 2016 IT'S GOING TO BE A MIXED BAG, THOUGH THEY WILL BE PLENTY OF BLAME TO GO AROUND AND PLENTY OF CREDIT TO GIVE TO THE PRESIDENT AFTER TOMORROW NIGHT >> Harris: WE JUST TOUCHED ON THIS SOME REPUBLICANS ARE REPORTEDLY FIGHTING OVER THE PRESIDENT'S HEAVY FOCUS NOW LATE IN THE GAME ON ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION AND THE APPROACHING CARAVAN IN THE RUN-UP TO ELECTION DAY

THEY WOULD LIKE TO SEE MORE FOCUS ON THE GOOD ECONOMIC NEWS MAJOR EXPANSION, A LOT OF JOBS ADDED, AND THE LOWEST UNEMPLOYMENT IN NEARLY HALF A CENTURY THE PRESIDENT IS EXPLAINING HIS STRATEGY AT A RALLY IN MONTANA OVER THE WEEKEND WATCH >> I CAN ONLY GO FOR FOUR OR 5 MINUTES WITH THAT STUFF

THEN THE CROWD SAYS "WE LOVE YOU!" AND THEY START DWINDLING OFF WHAT I DO IS TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE PROBLEMS THAT WE HAVE OUR ECONOMY IS DOING GREAT, OKAY? THEY THINK I SHOULD — EVEN SOME OF THE REPUBLICANS, THEY SAID TO ME, EXCEPT STEVE DAINES DOESN'T THINK THAT HE THINKS I SHOULD TALK ABOUT PROBLEMS THAT WE WANT TO STRAIGHTEN OUT BECAUSE WHEN WE ARE FIXING A PROBLEM OR HAVE FIXED THE PROBLEM, THERE'S NO REASON TO GO ON ABOUT IT FOR 45 MINUTES

>> Harris: POLITICO IS REPORTING "HOUSE SPEAKER PAUL RYAN GOT PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ON THE PHONE SUNDAY FOR ONE FINAL PLEA ON BEHALF OF ANXIOUS REPUBLICANS PLEASE, PLEASE, TALK OF THE BOOMING ECONOMY AND THE FINAL HOUR BEFORE ELECTION DAY PRESIDENT TRUMP –" PERHAPS NOT SO COINCIDENTALLY, THE PRESIDENT DID SPEND A CHUNK OF TIME TOUTING THE ECONOMY AT RALLIES IN GEORGIA AND TENNESSEE YESTERDAY SO, CHRIS WALLACE — IT'S NOT A SPLIT IN THE PARTY TO WANT TO TALK ABOUT THE ECONOMY VERSUS THE PRESIDENT WANTED TO TALK ABOUT SOMETHING THAT ACTUALLY HAS A VISUAL AID THAT IS VIDEO OF A CARAVAN GOING NORTH

EVEN THOUGH IT'S HUNDREDS OF MILES AND WEEKS AWAY, IT'S A VISUAL >> Chris: HERE IS THE CONTRAST IN SENATE RACES — PARTICULARLY, IF YOU PUT UP, THERE ARE TEN DEMOCRATS DEFENDING SEEDS BUT DONALD TRUMP ONE IN 2016 IN PRETTY RED STATES, LIKE INDIANA AND NORTH DAKOTA, AND MISSOURI, AND OTHER STATES THE IMMIGRATION BATTLE OR PUSH ON THAT PLACE VERY WELL IN THOSE RED STATES, AND FIRES OF VOTERS

OFTENTIMES, ANGER IS A BETTER MOTIVATING TOOL THAN GRATITUDE THE DIFFERENCES — AND THIS IS WHAT YOU HEAR HOUSE PEOPLE PARTICULARLY UPSET — YOU DON'T JUST HAVE STATEWIDE RACES YOU HAVE CONGRESSIONAL RACES GIVE SPECIFIC DISTRICTS SUBURBAN DISTRICTS

BETTER EDUCATED PEOPLE, SUBURBAN WOMEN THEY ARE LESS CONCERNED ABOUT IMMIGRATION AND MORE CONCERNED ABOUT BUTTER IT'S THE ECONOMY, STUPID THE HOUSE FEELS THAT SOME OF THIS ANGER-STOKING IS TURNING OFF THOSE SUBURBAN VOTERS THAT THEY WOULD BE BETTER OFF WITH THE ECONOMY AS THE BIG ISSUE

>> Harris: THE POINT THAT YOU WERE MAKING ABOUT THE HOUSE RACE IS A LITTLE BIT DIFFERENT THAN MINE WHAT I WAS SAYING IS THAT THERE ARE SOME PLACES WHERE REPUBLICANS MAY END UP WITH A BIGGER BATTLE ON THEIR HANDS YOU ARE SAYING THAT IF IT TURNS PEOPLE OFF, THAT DOESN'T MEAN THEY VOTE FOR DAVID SIDE THEY JUST DON'T VOTE THAT'S THE PROBLEM

AS WE LOOK TOWARD VOTER TURNOUT, TO BE THE DIFFERENCE FOR EITHER PARTY, THAT DOESN'T MEAN YOU'RE PARTIES COMING OUT >> Melissa: I THINKS WHAT S REALLY INTERESTING IS WHEN THE PEOPLE TELL THE PRESIDENT HOW TO MARKET HE KNEW BETTER THAN ALL OF CONVENTIONAL WISDOM IN THE LAST ELECTION I DON'T KNOW IF IT MAKES SENSE TO TELL HIM HOW HE COULD BE HELPING THE CAMPAIGN ONE WAY OR THE OTHER I THINK THE ECONOMY IS A VERY STRONG MESSAGE, ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU LOOK DEEP IN AT SOME OF THE THINGS

THE TYPE OF JOBS ARE INFINITELY BETTER THAN THEY WERE IN THE LAST OF ADMINISTRATION >> NOT ACCORDING TO — >> Melissa: THERE WAS A HUGE JUMP OF PEOPLE WHO CAME OFF THE BENCH I DIDN'T GIVE UP YOU LOOK AT THE GDP, AND YOU CAN'T ARGUE AGAINST THAT IT HAS EXPLODED >> Harris: WHAT ABOUT WAGES? >> Marie: THE TAX CUT IS STILL NOT PULLING VERY WELL

>> Harris: WHY DO YOU THINK THAT THE TAX CUT — IS IT ALL ABOUT THE OPTICS OF "THE RICH GOT RICHER," OR IS THE FEEL GOOD? PEOPLE ARE SAYING RETAIL SALES ARE GOING TO BE HUGE PEOPLE FEEL LIKE THEY HAVE MORE MONEY MORE CONFIDENCE >> Marie: PART OF IT FEELS LIKE IT'S DESIGNED TO HELP THE WEALTHY PEOPLE INTO CORPORATIONS >> Harris: BUT IF THEIR LIVES ARE BETTER — >> Marie: BUT ARE THEY? >> Harris: IF IT'S ANY INDICATION — >> Kennedy: THAT SUCH A SHOCKING ASSERTION THAT DEMOCRATS ARE TRYING TO MAKE

IT'S EMPTY RHETORIC WHEN CHUCK SCHUMER IS LOOKING AT A 37 RATE ON APPOINTMENT RATE GOING "THAT DOESN'T REALLY HELP FAMILIES!" AND MOST CERTAINLY DOES WHAT YOU THINK IS BETTER, WHEN YOU HAVE A JOB OR WHEN YOU DON' DON'T? >> Marie: THEY ARE NOT FORCING — THEY ARE PULLING THEM THEY SAY THEY DON'T LIKE IT

>> Kennedy: I WILL ANSWER PAUL RYAN, WHOM I DON'T NECESSARILY AGREE WITH, HE IS THE ONE SINGLE BOOK THAT WE HAVE TO TALK ABOUT THE ECONOMY THIS IS SOMETHING THAT RESONATES WITH THOSE CRITICAL INDEPENDENT AND SUBURBAN VOTERS" REPUBLICANS HAVE NOT DONE A GREAT JOB MESSAGING THE ECONOMY IT'S A GREAT THING TO CUT TAXES AND GIVE ECONOMIC — >> Harris: WHAT IS THE IRONY OF PAUL RYAN, THEN, LOOKING TO THE PRESIDENT AND SAYING "YOU NEED TO TALK ABOUT THE ECONOMY MORE?" I MADE THE POINT, WHY DON'T THEY DRIVE DOWN THERE ONLY IN? THEY COULD TALK ABOUT THE ECONOMY, TOO

THEY DON'T NEED THE PRESIDENT'S PERMISSION TO DO THAT >> Kennedy: HE'S CAMPAIGNING FOR THE WINTER HE SEES THE SENATE AS BEING MORE FRUITFUL IN THE WIN COLUMN THEN THE HOUSE, AND HE'S GOOD TO PUT THAT ON PAUL RYAN >> Harris: THAT'S WHERE HE'S BEEN, IN THE BATTLEGROUND STATES THIS FIVE THIS COULD BE A CHARACTER ELECTION AND NOT AN ECONOMIC ONE

WE WILL SEE THAT >> Harris: OH, GOOD LORD YOU MADE CHRIS WALLACE LAUGH! >> Marie: THAT'S ALWAYS MY GOAL >> Harris: WE KNOW YOU WILL STAY WITH US THROUGH ELECTION NIGHT WE ARE EXCITED ABOUT THAT

OUR SPECIAL COVERAGE BEGINS AT 6:00 PM EASTERN THE 6:00 PM

EASTERN BRET BAIER AND MARTHA MacCALLUM WILL BE AT THE HELM IN THE WEE HOURS OF THE NIGHT, AS WE GET RESULTS FROM A AROUD THE NATION IT'S GOING TO BE QUITE ANYTHING SPEND IT AT FOX NEWS CHANNEL, FNC FOR THE COOL KIDS

IT'S BETWEEN INCUMBENT SENATOR JOEL NELSON AND FLORIDA REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR RICK SCOTT NOW PRESIDENT TRUMP IS WEIGHING IN AS THE FINISH LINE APPROACHES WE WILL HAVE A LIVE REPORT FROM THE SUNSHINE STATE, AND BRINGING SOME USE SOME SUNSHINE REPORTS THAT THE BLUE WAVE IS FALLING, AND THE REPUBLICAN ISSUES FAITH IS RISING WHAT DOES IT MEAN? >> HEALTH CARE IS UNDER ATTACK

THAT'S THE NUMBER ONE ISSUE IN THIS ELECTION, HIS HEALTH CARE THEY WANT TO DO IT WITH COVERAGE FOR PEOPLE WITH PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS THAT'S WHY SO MANY AMERICANS HAVE BANKS >> THAT'S DEMOCRATS LEADING ON ANY ISSUE HOW MANY OF THEM ARE SAYING "I HAVE A SOLUTION, LET'S WORK WITH >> Harris: FOX NEWS ALERT, NEW PULLING JUST 24 HOURS BEFORE AMERICANS WITH AN MIDTERM ELECTIONS

ACTUALLY, IT'S LESS THAN THAT BECAUSE MOST PLACES OPEN UP AT THE CRACK OF DAWN CONTROL OF THE HOUSE IS VERY MUCH IN PLAY RIGHT NOW A NEW "WASHINGTON POST" POLL SHOWS THAT 57% OF REGISTERED VOTERS SAY THAT IF ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, THEY WOULD VOTE FOR A DEMOCRAT 43% SAY THEY WOULD LOOK FOR A REPUBLICAN THAT'S A SEVEN-POINT ADVANTAGE FOR DEMOCRATS

THE LEAD IS DOWN FROM AUGUST DEMOCRATS BEAT OUT REPUBLICANS BY A 14-POINT MARGIN THAT'S DOUBLE ON ON "FOX NEWS SUNDAY," REPUBN MAJORITY LEADER STEVE SCALISE AND DEMOCRAT BRIAN — THE HOST IS RIGHT NEXT TO ME >> THE SIDE THAT GETS THE MOST TURNOUT, HANDLES THE GROUND GAME APPROPRIATELY, AND AGGRESSIVELY COME IS GOING TO BE THE ONE THAT WINS I FEEL GOOD ABOUT OUR TURNOUT ACROSS THE COUNTRY I THINK WE ARE GOING TO TAKE THE HOUSE BACK

>> I'M FEELING REALLY GOOD WE KNOW THERE'S A LOT AT STAKE WE KNOW THERE'S A LOT OF CLOSE RACES I THINK WE ARE GOING TO HOLD THE HOUSE I FEEL THE ENTHUSIASM COME EVERY SWING DISTRICT TO GO INTO YOU CAN SEE IT

>> Harris: THAT WAS MARIA'S SHOW HE GOT WRONG THAT'S OKAY >> Chris: THE POLLING AE GOOD SIGNS FOR THE GO

P A PLURALITY OF VOTERS SAY THAT THEY BELIEVE REPUBLICANS DO A BETTER JOB HANDLING THE ECONOMY AND BORDER SECURITY THAT GOES RIGHT ALONG WITH WHAT THE PRESIDENT IS SAYING IN TERMS OF THE BORDERS SECURITY , IT'S UP ISSUE AND THE REPUBLICANS HANDLE BETTER

>> Chris: EACH OF THE DISTRICTS AND SEPARATES PILATE WHY IT PLAYS WELL AND SOME DESSERTS, IT DOESN'T PLAY IN OTHERS THOSE ARE SWING DISTRICTS LET'S BE HONEST — NONE OF US HAVE A CLUE WHAT'S GOING HAPPEN TOMORROW AFTER 2016, IF WE AREN'T A LITTLE BIT MORE HUMBLE IN TERMS OF MAKING PRODUCTION, WE REALLY ARE STUPID, YOU KNOW? BECAUSE WE ALL HAD EGG IN OUR FACE THE MORNING AFTER THE ELECTION IN 2016 THE INTERESTING THING IS, BOTH IN THE SENATE AND THE HOUSE — CONVENTIONAL WISDOM HAS BEEN THAT THE DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO TAKE THE HOUSE, NOT BY A BIG MARGIN, BUT THEY WILL

REPUBLICANS HOLD ONTO THE SENATE AND ADD TO THEIR SEATS THAT WOULD BE THE FIRST TIME SINCE 1982 THAT THE HOUSES WENT IN DIFFERENT DIRECTIONS THERE'S A GOOD CHANCE THAT BOTH OF THOSE ARE GOING TO CHANGE, BECAUSE THE RACES, INDIVIDUAL SENATE RACES, ARE CLOSING IN HOUSE RACES, THE GENERIC BALLOT IS CLOSING THIS IS GOING TO BE, I SUSPECT, A VERY EXCITING AND PRETTY LIGHT NIGHT

>> Harris: MARIE? >> Marie: I THINK WHAT'S INTERESTING IS SOME OF THE POLES WE QUOTE FROM A NATIONAL POLLS LIKE CHRIS SAID, EVERY DISTRICT IS VERY DIFFERENT ONE THING I WILL GIVE MY PARTY SOME CREDIT FOR THIS YEAR IS FINDING CANDIDATES THAT MATCH THE DISTRICT THEY SAW CONNOR LANE WHEN, DOUG JONES I DON'T THINK HE'S GOING TO LOSE IN HIS NEW DISTRICT

WE WILL SEE IN PLACES LIKE VIRGINIA, DAVE BRAT, BARBARA COMSTOCK, THEY ARE PROBABLY GOING TO USE IN MICHIGAN, YOU HAVE PEOPLE LIKE MIKE BISHOP PROBABLY LOSING TO A FEMALE FORMER CIA OFFICER ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE NEW YORK, NEW JERSEY >> Harris: YOU CAN ADD THAT TO THE LIST

>> Marie: THERE ARE PLACES WHERE DEMOCRATS HAVE NOT COMPETED IN HOUSE DISTRICTS FOR DECADES, AND THE CYCLE THEY WENT OUT AND FOUND GOOD CANDIDATES TO MATCH THE DISTRICTS WHO, BY THE WAY, RAISED MORE MONEY THAN THEIR REPUBLICANS AND MANY OF THESE PLACES THE >> Chris: I WILL SAY, A LOT OF WOMEN AND A LOT OF WOMEN WITH MILITARY CREDENTIALS THE MILITARY COME AT THE CIA IT'S A GOOD GROUP OF CANDIDATES

>> Harris: I MENTION NEVADA FOR THIS REASON, NOT BECAUSE YOU HAVEN'T SEEN IT ON THE GROUND THAT'S AS HOPEFUL AS HE GETS WITH HARRY REID WITH DEMOCRATS THEN YOU GOT DEAN HELLER FOR REPUBLICANS THEY CAN GO EITHER WAY THE WOMEN'S COMPONENT HAS MADE A HUGE DIFFERENCE ON THE GROUND THERE PREVIOUSLY KAMALA HARRIS GOING THERE AND TRYING TO TELL EVERYBODY JACKIE ROSEN IS THE ONLY PERSON YOU CAN BELIEVE IN! SHE'S ALL WOMEN! ALL THE WOMEN COMING UP

IT'S INTERESTING COMPONENT HAVE WE SEEN THE WOMEN'S COMPONENT TO MORE ACTIVATED THAN EVER BEFORE, DO YOU THINK, KENNEDY CAUSED AN ARC BECAUSE OF THE #MeToo MOVEMENT? BECAUSE OF KAVANAUGH? >> Kennedy: I WANT TO SEE THE BEST CANDIDATE IF THEY HAPPEN TO BE WOMEN, THAT'S FANTASTIC THAT'S WHAT MOTIVATES VOTERS A LOT OF THE TIME — AND WE LEARNED THIS, CERTAINLY, IN 2016 — PEOPLE WILL TELL POLLSTERS WHAT THEY THINK THEY WANT TO HEAR

IF YOU WANT TO VOTE AGAINST SOMEONE BECAUSE OF THE GENDER, YOU SAY THE RIGHT THING THEN WHEN YOU GO INTO THIS VERY INTIMATE POLLING PLACE AND YOU ACTUALLY CAST YOUR VOTE, SOMETHING ODD CAN HAPPEN >> Harris: YOU CAN DO WHAT YOU WANT TO DO WE HAVE A DIFFERENT SYSTEM NOW AT FOX NEWS ON ELECTION NIGHT WE — 25,000 PEOPLE BEFORE, DURING, AND AFTER

"YOU DIDN'T VOTE? WHY DIDN'T YOU VOTE?" MOVING AWAY FROM EXIT POLLS THERE WERE ALSO PEOPLE WHO GENEVAN — "I MIGHT VOTE FOR DONALD TRUMP, I REALIZE HE'S A BUSINESSMAN AND NOT A POLITICIAN MIGHT TRY THAT OUT" AND THEY DIDN'T WANT TO SAY >> Melissa: WHEN WE LOOK BACK AT THE DATA FROM LESSON, WOMEN VOTED THIS WAY

I SAY TO MYSELF, HOW DO YOU KNOW THAT? I WENT INTO THE VOTE AND PUNCH MY BALLOT AND IT DIDN'T SAY WHAT GENDER I WAS I DIDN'T THINK THEY WERE KEEPING TRACK LIKE THAT PUTTING THE STATS THAT LATER, ONLY I KNOW HOW I REALLY VOTED, RIGHT? >> Harris: THEY TALK TO PEOPLE AS THEY ARE COMING OUT, BUT — THE ELECTION, NOT EVERYBODY WAS HONEST ABOUT WHAT THEY DID WE WILL MOVE ON ARE YOU GLAD YOU ARE HERE? WE ARE GLAD TO HAVE YOU

>> Chris: I COULDN'T BE HAPPIER DID I MENTION, INSIDE? >> Harris: IT'S LOVELY OUT NOW! [LAUGHTER] THANKS, BUT NO THANKS THAT'S WHAT DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE SEEM TO BE SAYING TO OF FORMER PRESIDENT BILL CLINTON DURING THE MIDTERMS WHY IS THAT? IS THAT A GOOD IDEA? DID WORK FOR AL GORE? PLUS, THE SWINGINGEST OF SWING STATES AND I DON'T MEAN THE DANCE MOVES

IT'S BRINGING US THE HOTLY CONTESTED SENATE RACES LIKE FROM FLORIDA WHERE DEMOCRATIC RICK SCOTT IS TRYING TO TAKE BILL NELSON SEAT >> ALMOST TWO YEARS AS PRESIDENT, I NEVER RECEIVED CALL FROM PRESIDENT NELSON TO HELP OUT THE PEOPLE OF FLORIDA THAT'S GOT TO MEAN SOMETHING TO MEAN THAT MEANS A LOT

MAYBE ALMOST EVERYTHING ♪ ♪ 'S B3 THE FLORIDA SENATOR REID IS COMING DOWN TO THE WIRE WITH BILL NELSON IS A IN A BRUISING BATTLE WITH RICK SCOTT NELSON CLAIMS THAT HE IS ENRICHED ONLY HIMSELF THROUGH BUSINESS DEALS AS GOVERNOR, WHILE SCOTT CALLS NELSON A "DO-NOTHING"" SENATOR THREE POLES OUT SHOW THAT HE HAS SINGLE DIGIT LEADS IN WHAT LOOKS LIKE THE MOST EXPENSIVE SENATE RACES IN US

HISTORY PRESIDENT TRUMP WEIGHING IN, TWEETING "REMEMBER FLORIDA, I'VE BEEN PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES FOR ALMOST TWO YEARS DURING THAT TIME, SENATOR BILL NELSON DIDN'T CALL ME ONCE RICK SCOTT GROWTH CONSTANTLY REQUESTING DOLLARS PLUS FOR FLORIDA DID A GREAT JOB ON HURRICANE

VOTE SCOTT!" PETER DOOCY'S LIFE IN FLORIDA WITH MORE ON THIS PETER? >> FLORIDA'S GOVERNOR WANTS TO BECOME FLORIDA SENATOR, AND RICK SCOTT CHALLENGED — IT IS STARTING TO ZERO IN ON HIS 18 YEAR RECORD IN THE SENATE >> IT YOU'RE TRYING TO GET A GUY WHO DOESN'T WANT TO WORK AND JUST WANTS A JOB HE'S GOING TO RAISE YOUR TAXES HE HAS DONE IT OVER 300 TIMES

>> DOES ANYBODY WANT TAXES TO GO UP? NO HE DOESN'T SHOW UP TO WORK >> WE WENT TO AN EVENT HOSTED BY BIKERS FOR TRUNK, WHERE THE COHEADLINER WAS ANDY POLLOCK, FOWLER OF PARKLAND VICTIM MEADOW POLLOCK PROGRESSIVE MINDED PARKLAND STUDENTS STARTED WITH ONE OF THE BIGGEST MOVEMENTS THEY FEATURED AND THEN TED TRUMP SENTIMENT

BUT, THE LEAD LINE AT THAT EVENT WAS THAT HE HAD JUST TALKED TO THE PRESIDENT AND PEOPLE APPLAUDED ON THE OTHER SIDE, NELSON IS DOING HIS BEST TO HIGHLIGHT HIS TIES TO FORMER PRESIDENT OBAMA ALSO, HIS NEWSPAPER ENDORSEMENT ADVANTAGE OVER SCOTT AND ALL THE CELEBRITIES WHO HAVE COME OUT IN SUPPORT OF HIS CAMPAIGN THE CAMPAIGN POSTED THIS "EXHIBIT A, JIMMY BUFFETT

" SOME PEOPLE SAY THERE IS A RED TIDE A BLIMP BUT I KNOW IT'S ALL RICK SCOTT'S FAULT NELSON IS TRYING TO WRITE A WAVE OF THE ENTHUSIASM OF THE TOP OF THE TICKET, GOOBER GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATE ANDREW GILLUM HE'S BEEN CHEWING UP TO IT ANDREW GILLUM EVENTS AND INTRODUCING TO HIMSELF TO VOTERS TURNING OUT TO SEE GILLAM VOTERS LINED UP FOR HOURS IN THE SEAT YESTERDAY MORE THAN 5 MILLION PEOPLE HAVE VOTED IN PERSON OR BY MAIL EARLY

DEMOCRATS ARE NOW HAVE A SLIGHT EDGE WITH THE EARLY BALLOTS, BUT SOME COUNTIES ARE STILL COMING IN AND VOTERS WHO ARE EITHER INDEPENDENT OR HAVE NO PARTY ID MAKE UP 950,000 OR SO OF THOSE WHO HAVE ALREADY CAST BALLOTS MELISSA? >> Melissa: INTERESTING STUFF ALL RIGHT

IT STRIKES ME AS AN ECONOMIC PERSON THAT GILLUM WOULD BE FINANCIAL SUICIDE FOR THE SEA IT DOES SEEM LIKE YOU'VE SEEN NELSON GETS A PICKUP I GO INTO THESE RALLIES I LOVE THE IDEA OF CHUMMING UP AT SOMEBODY ELSE'S POPULARITY WHAT A GREAT IDEA >> Chris: YES

GILLUM DOES SEEM TO HAVE MOVED — IT IS STILL WELL WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR, BUT TO A DISTINCTIVE LEAD OVER RON DeSANTIS FOR THE GOVERNOR'S RACE MORE THAN THAT, I THINK HE IS JUST EXCITED PEOPLE HE IS GETTING A LOT OF ATTENTION IT'S AN INTERESTING THING ABOUT BILL NELSON — I'M A LITTLE SURPRISED THAT SCOTT IS HAVING SO MUCH TROUBLE WITH HIM, BECAUSE — HOW DO I SEE THIS NICELY — BILL NELSON IS KIND OF AN EMPTY FIGURE IN WASHINGTON YOU NEVER HEAR HIS NAME, HE IS NEVER IN DEBATES ON KEY ISSUES

HE JUST IS SORT OF UNDER THE RADAR MAYBE WORKING IN FLORIDA, BUT IN THE NATIONAL SCENE, IT DOESN'T — AND I THOUGHT WHEN SCOTT GOT IN THAT SCOTT WOULD HANDLE THAT RACE PRETTY EASILY I DO THINK ONE OF THE SURPRISES WAS ANDREW GILLUM, WHO WAS NOT EXPECTED TO BE THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE, HAS BECOME THE NOMINEE AND HAS BECOME A VERY STRONG CANDIDATE AS YOU SAY, IN SUCH A NICE WAY, HE IS CHUMMING [LAUGHTER] >> Harris: EVEN WITH WHAT HAPPENED IN PARKLAND AND THE SCHOOL SHOOTING THERE, IT WAS DIFFICULT AND SOMETIMES TO TALK WITH DEMOCRATS

IT WAS ALL GUN CONTROL, GUN, GUN, GUN EVEN IN THE WAKING HOURS OF THAT, ANDREW GILLUM MADE HIMSELF ACCESSIBLE I THINK "OUTNUMBERED OVERTIME" WAS THE FIRST SHOW ON THE NETWORK TO HAVE HIM ON WE TALKED ABOUT A HOST OF ISSUES WITH HIM ON THE GROUND RIGHT AFTER THAT TRAGEDY HE MADE HIMSELF AVAILABLE

YOU COULD GO TOE-TO-TOE WITH HIM, TALK ABOUT WHATEVER HE WANTED TO TALK ABOUT EARLY ON, I THINK HE KNEW THAT HIS VOICE WAS SOMETHING THAT HE COULD KIND OF PROJECTS THROUGH THE CACOPHONY OF PEOPLE FIGHTING OVER GUNS AND TALK ABOUT OTHER ISSUES HE WAS FLEXING THAT MUSCLE BACK THEN >> Marie: HE IS A ROCK STAR IN THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY RIGHT NOW I WILL SAY, PEOPLE LOOK AT HIM, LOOK AT HOW HE'S CAMPAIGNING, THE KIND OF CAMPAIGN HE IS RUNNING, AND SAY "THIS COULD BE PART OF THE FUTURE

" IF YOU OTHER THINGS ABOUT FLORIDA — FIRST, THERE ARE STILL A LOT OF PUERTO RICANS WHO ARE DISPLACED AND LIVE IN FLORIDA THEY TEND TO VOTE DEMOCRATIC NOT ALWAYS, BUT THEY WILL BE VOTING IN FLORIDA THIS CYCLE THERE'S ALSO THE QUESTION ABOUT HURRICANE MICHAEL AND WHETHER EVERYBODY WAS IMPACTED BY THAT WILL BE ABLE TO VOTE IN A LOT OF PLACES THAT HAD TO BE MORE CONSERVATIVE WERE HARDEST HIT BY THAT

WE WILL SEE IN THAT AREA WITH THE VOTER TURNOUT IS FINALLY, THERE IS A VALID ISSUE ON THE FLOOR DEVELOP THIS CYCLE, TO GIVE FELONS — NOT FOR MURDER, OR VIOLENT SEXUAL ASSAULT BUT TO GIVE THEM THE ABILITY TO VOTE WEATHER — THAT WILL PASS REGARDLESS OF BIPARTISAN SUPPORT

THAT IS A VALID ISSUE THAT COME AT A STATE LEVEL, COULD DRIVE TURNOUT WHEN WE WERE THE OTHER END IMPACT THE RACE >> Melissa: THAT'S INTERESTING POINT KENNEDY, I WOULD ASK YOU, ONE THING THAT WAS REALLY — PEOPLE DIDN'T EXPECT IN THE LAST ELECTION WAS THAT THEY GUESSED WRONG ON FLORIDA'S HISPANIC VOTE THEY THOUGHT THAT WOULD GO HEAVILY AGAINST THE PRESIDENT THEY DIDN'T UNDERSTAND THE NUANCES, THAT THAT IS NOT ONE MONOLITH

I DON'T KNOW YOUR THOUGHTS ON THAT >> Kennedy: WE HAVE TO BE CAREFUL OF PUTTING PEOPLE INTO DEPLORABLE BASKETS IT'S UNCOMFORTABLE FOR PEOPLE WHO TEND TO THINK INDEPENDENTLY OUTSIDE OF WHATEVER DESIGNATION THEY ARE GIVEN, AND I THINK FLORIDA COULD BE AN INTERESTING LATE-NIGHT, BECAUSE YOU'VE A LOT OF PUERTO RICANS WHO ARE DISPLACED AFTER MARIA, WHO MAY VOTE FOR RICK SCOTT THEY MAY ALSO VOTE FOR ANDREW GILLUM BECAUSE THEY LIKE HIS MEDS MESSAGE YOU CAN SEE MORE IN A SPLIT STATE

AL GORE MUST GET A LUMP IN HIS THROAT EVERY TIME HE THINKS ABOUT FLORIDA ON A CRITICAL ELECTION NIGHT I THINK THAT WHAT IS GOING TO GO LATE IT WILL BE VERY CLOSE NOTHING — >> Marie: THE FLORIDA POLL SAID PEOPLE MIGHT SPLIT LIKE THAT >> Harris: PURPLE

>> Melissa: MORE ON THE SHOW DOWN NEW REPORTS THAT WHITE HOUSE AIDES ARE PLANNING TO TOUT PRESIDENT TRUMP'S RALLIES AND HELPING THE MAJORITY IN THE SENATE, BUT SOME DEMOCRATS SAYING THAT THEY STILL HAVE A CHANCE TO TAKE CONTROL WE WILL DEBATE >> NOTHING LIKE SIMPLICITY THIS TUESDAY, YOU HAVE TO GET OUT AND VOTE

JUST MAKE SURE DO IT SOONER I GUESS YOU CAN'T DO IT LATER UNLESS YOU ARE A DEMOCRAT, THEN HE COULD DO IT LATER [LGH >> Marie: NEW QUESTIONS OVER THE BATTLE OF CONTROL OF CONGRESS

ACCORDING TO POLITICAL, WHITE HOUSE AIDES ARE TRYING TO TOUT TRUMP AS A SAVIOR OF REPUBLICANS IN THE SENATE EVEN IF DEMOCRATS RETAKE THE HOUSE THE ADVISORS POINTING TO THE PRESIDENT'S BUSY CAMPAIGN SCHEDULE SINCE LABOR DAY ONE TOP SENATE DEMOCRATS, CHRIS VAN HOLLEN, SAYS THEY WON'T BE EASY BUT POSSIBLE THAT DEMOCRATS COULD TAKE THE SENATE WATCH >> THIS IS THE TOUGHEST POLITICAL MAP ANYONE PARTY HAS FACED IN 60 YEARS, AND IF YOU WERE TO HAVE ASKED PEOPLE A YEAR AND HALF AGO WHERE WE WOULD BE, YOU WOULD NOT BE ASKING THE QUESTION OF WHETHER OR NOT WE HAVE A PATH TO BE SENATE DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY

THE ANSWER IS WE DO HAVE A PATH IT IS A VERY NARROW PATH >> Marie: A TOP SENATE REPUBLICAN, TOM TILLIS, SAYS THE GOP

WILL DO MORE THAN JUST HOLD THE SENATE MAJORITY >> WE ARE NOT ONLY GOING TO HOLD MAJORITY I THINK WE'RE GOING TO ADD TO IT I BELIEVE THAT STATES LIKE NORTH DAKOTA, INDIANA, MISSOURI, ARE ALL TRENDING IN A POSITIVE DIRECTION OUR INCUMBENTS ARE DOING VERY WELL

THERE MAY BE A SPECIAL ELECTION IN MISSISSIPPI THAT WILL TAKE ANOTHER THREE WEEKS TO SORT OUT, BUT I AM ALSO CONFIDENT THAT WE WILL HAVE A REPUBLICAN COMING BACK IN THAT STATE >> Marie: I WILL POINT OUT, THEY WERE ON ON FOX NEWS YES CHRIS WALLACE YESTERDAY CHRIS WALLACE, I WILL COME TO FIRST THIS MORNING WE HAD A PULL OUT OF TENNESSEE SHOWING IT BASICALLY TIED

WE HAVE ARIZONA POLLS SHOWING IT'S STILL TIED DO YOU THINK THERE IS ANY WAY THE SENATE — THE DEMOCRATS COULD TAKE THE SENATE? ANY POSSIBLE WAY? >> Chris: AS CHRIS VAN HOLLEN SAID ON FOX NEWS SUNDAY, THERE IS A NARROW PATH BUT THIS HAS ALWAYS BEEN A REALLY TOUGH YEAR FOR THE DEMOCRATS THE DEMOCRATS ARE DEFENDING 26 SEATS REPUBLICANS ARE DEFENDING ONLY NINE

JUST DO THE ODDS THERE THE CHANCES THAT DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO LOSE ARE MUCH GREATER THAN THE REPUBLICANS WILL I HAVE TO LAUGH A LITTLE BIT AT THE IDEA THAT, WELL, IF THE ELECTION ENDS UP BEING SPLIT, THAT THE WHITE HOUSE IS GOING TO SPIN IT AS TRUMP IS THE SAVIOR OF THE SENATE NO, HE WILL HAVE LOST THE HOUSE THERE IS NO WAY THEY WILL BE ABLE TO SPIN IT AS ANYTHING OTHER THAN THAT

HE HAS DONE A GOOD JOB HE IS MOBILIZING THE BASE I THINK HE HAS DONE VERY WELL IN A LOT OF THESE CLOSE SENATE RACES HE MAY ACTUALLY ADD TO HIS MAJORITY YOU COULD ARGUE THE SENATE IS MORE IMPORTANT TO HIM THAN THE HOUSE BECAUSE OF THE FACT THAT YOU GET YOUR NOMINATIONS FOR CABINET POSITIONS, FOR THE COURT, EXCLUSIVELY THROUGH THE SENATE

IF HE LOSES THE HOUSE, IT'S

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